The aim of the developmental scenarios was to simulate future forest conditions under different management strategies. A scenario which involves harvesting primarily damaged trees, at a rate equal to the allowable sustainable harvest level, assuming no new damage, will result in a forest with no damaged trees within 30 to 40 years. If the above scenario is modified to include an annual damage rate similar to that which has occurred in the past, then annual harvest will be entirely made up of damaged trees in perpetuity. Consequently all other scenarios end in a forest comprised solely of damaged trees. The simulation concerning damage risk indicates that certain regions are of a greater risk to harvest or peeling damage. It is suggested that these areas be identified and an effort made to minimize furhter damage Figures 4.1.4.2 and 4.1.4.3 (p. 259) are examples of high risk areas derived from inventory data.
